{"ok":true,"service":"kelly-glass-lab","route":"/api/glass-lab/sector-forecast-card/earth_disaster","generatedAt":"2026-07-08T07:15:16.712Z","readOnly":true,"mutationAllowed":false,"publicUserWriteAllowed":false,"id":"earth_disaster","title":"Earth & Disaster Lab Forecast Card","labTitle":"Earth & Disaster Lab","question":"Have nearby earthquakes changed risk?","kellyPosture":"active_watch","kellyProbability":52,"confidence":"strong","horizon":"next observable reality closure","evidenceBullets":["5/5 source families wired or available.","4/4 brain fleet health signal.","0 visible authority rows in the current proof window.","100% proof-link coverage."],"falsifierBullets":["Source freshness weakens or key feeds become unavailable.","Authority/replay links fail to resolve from the proof surface.","New public data changes the base rate or causal pressure map.","Settlement/calibration later scores this lane poorly."],"settlementRule":"Reality closes this forecast through the relevant public source update, outcome record, or settlement receipt for this sector.","proofLinks":{"lab":"/sector-labs/earth-disaster","dossier":"/sector-dossier/earth-disaster","trail":"/sector-trail/earth-disaster","authorityIndex":"/authority-index","scoreboard":"/sector-scoreboard"},"boundary":{"readOnly":true,"publicUserWriteAllowed":false,"forecastCardIsDecisionSupportNotAdvice":true,"probabilityIsCurrentProofPostureNotGuaranteedAccuracy":true}}