{"ok":true,"service":"kelly-glass-lab","route":"/api/glass-lab/sector-labs/company_events","generatedAt":"2026-07-08T07:14:49.730Z","readOnly":true,"mutationAllowed":false,"publicUserWriteAllowed":false,"id":"company_events","title":"Company Events Lab","template":{"id":"company_events","label":"Company Events Lab","shortLabel":"Company","tagline":"Public filing events separated from market reaction.","bestFor":"Showing event memory for companies without claiming price causality.","safeClaim":"Shows recent filing volume, material-event pressure, and filing recency.","blockedClaim":"No claim that a filing caused a price move unless later tests support it.","focusLabel":"Pick a public company","focusQuestion":"Which company should KELLY inspect?","questionLabel":"What company question are you asking?","responseNode":"COMPANY:RISK","sourceIds":["sec-edgar"],"focusPresets":[{"id":"aapl","label":"Apple","symbol":"AAPL"},{"id":"nvda","label":"Nvidia","symbol":"NVDA"},{"id":"tsla","label":"Tesla","symbol":"TSLA"},{"id":"msft","label":"Microsoft","symbol":"MSFT"},{"id":"amzn","label":"Amazon","symbol":"AMZN"},{"id":"owl","label":"Blue Owl Capital","symbol":"OWL"}],"questionPresets":[{"id":"filings","label":"New filings","nodeId":"COMPANY:FILING_COUNT","userQuestion":"Have new filings appeared?"},{"id":"material","label":"Material events","nodeId":"COMPANY:MATERIAL_EVENT","userQuestion":"Are material events rising?"},{"id":"recency","label":"Recency","nodeId":"COMPANY:FILING_RECENCY","userQuestion":"How recent are the events?"},{"id":"reaction","label":"Market reaction","nodeId":"COMPANY:REACTION_GAP","userQuestion":"Did the market reaction diverge from the event?"},{"id":"overall","label":"Overall risk","nodeId":"COMPANY:RISK","userQuestion":"Is company event risk rising?"}],"defaultNodes":["COMPANY:FILING_COUNT","COMPANY:MATERIAL_EVENT","COMPANY:FILING_RECENCY","COMPANY:REACTION_GAP","COMPANY:RISK"],"defaultEdges":["COMPANY:FILING_COUNT -> COMPANY:RISK","COMPANY:MATERIAL_EVENT -> COMPANY:RISK","COMPANY:FILING_RECENCY -> COMPANY:RISK","COMPANY:REACTION_GAP -> COMPANY:RISK"]},"persona":{"audience":"Founders, analysts, procurement teams, investors, and anyone tracking public-company event risk.","primaryQuestion":"What public event changed, what might it cause, and what evidence would separate signal from noise?","method":"Filing/event intake, materiality pressure, reaction separation, causal hypothesis, settlement, memory lineage.","proofPromise":"Every company view should show filing source, event type, causal claim boundary, and later outcome check.","liveApp":"/sector-labs/company-events"},"advantage":{"headline":"Why KELLY can be stronger here","claim":"KELLY is designed to win by being scoreable: every forecast should connect to source evidence, causal assumptions, falsifiers, settlement, calibration, replay, and memory lineage.","whyItMatters":"A forecast platform is only as good as its ability to be wrong in public, adjust from reality, and improve the next forecast without hiding the chain.","whereProofLives":["Source plan: the approved feed rows on this page","Forecast method: the doctrine timeline on this page","Authority evidence: Authority Index and replay receipts","Score evidence: settlement and calibration records","System evidence: Brain Fleet, generality evidence, and advanced proof labs"],"superiorityBoundary":"KELLY should be called better only where its scorecards, calibration, replay receipts, and source coverage outperform alternatives. This page is built to make that measurable.","sectorEdge":"Shows recent filing volume, material-event pressure, and filing recency."},"uxPatterns":["Citation-forward answer pattern: put sources and proof next to claims.","Forecasting track-record pattern: keep probability, resolution rule, score, and history together.","Watchlist pattern: let users inspect a saved set without writing ground truth.","Alert/status pattern: show what changed, what is stale, and what KELLY is watching."],"researchReferences":[{"name":"TradingView","url":"https://www.tradingview.com/features/","lesson":"Charts, alerts, screeners, replay, multi-chart layouts, and fast command/search patterns make market work feel immediate."},{"name":"Metaculus","url":"https://www.metaculus.com/faq/","lesson":"Forecast questions need clear resolution rules, track records, scoring, calibration, and aggregation history."},{"name":"Windy / Windy.app","url":"https://windy.app/","lesson":"Weather users need maps, layers, local points, alerts, history, model comparison, and fast location context."},{"name":"Perplexity","url":"https://www.perplexity.ai/help-center/en/articles/10352895-how-does-perplexity-work.html","lesson":"Answer users expect citations beside claims, follow-up context, and checkable source trails."}],"liveStatus":{"state":"warming_specialized_read_only","sourcePresentCount":2,"sourceCount":2,"brainFleetHealthy":4,"visibleAuthorityRows":0,"generatedHypotheses":0,"realityClosures":0,"marketFeedAvailable":null},"sources":[{"id":"sec-edgar","label":"SEC EDGAR","cost":"free_no_key","keyName":"SEC_USER_AGENT","present":true,"note":"Company filing metadata. Requires a responsible User-Agent string, not an API token."},{"id":"openai","label":"OpenAI","cost":"paid_optional","keyName":"OPENAI_API_KEY","present":true,"note":"Only for narrative phrasing. The proof engine does not require an LLM."}],"forecastMethod":["Approved source intake only","Tag source, freshness, domain, and authority","The Book of Why: ask what caused the change, what would have happened otherwise, and what evidence can falsify the causal story","Thinking in Systems: map feedback loops, delays, stocks, flows, constraints, and downstream effects","Thinking, Fast and Slow: separate fast pattern recognition from slower deliberate verification","Superforecasting: start with base rates, update incrementally, keep probabilities explicit, and score the forecast later","Thinking in Bets: treat every forecast as a wager against reality with a clear settlement rule","Build causal pressure nodes and forecast cones","Separate KELLY forecast from user forecast","Track falsifiers, uncertainty, and competing explanations","Close against reality","Score calibration and error direction","Apply continuous micro-adjustments after settlement to improve future accuracy","Create replayable memory evidence when eligible"],"proofSurfaces":{"authorityIndex":"/authority-index","competitiveProofLabs":"/advanced-proof-labs","agiReadiness":"/generality-evidence","brainFleet":"/api/brain-fleet","templates":"/api/sector-labs","marketSummary":null},"metrics":{"visibleCells":0,"authorityCoverage":null,"readinessScore":0,"brainFleetHealthy":4,"sourcePresentCount":2,"sourceCount":2},"marketSummary":null,"boundary":{"readOnly":true,"publicUserWriteAllowed":false,"noAdviceSubstitute":"No claim that a filing caused a price move unless later tests support it.","noClaimOfPerfectPrediction":true,"proofRequiredForEveryForecast":true},"proofScore":{"score":70,"grade":"strong","sourceCoverage":100,"brainCoverage":100,"authorityVisible":false,"proofSurfaceCoverage":100,"readinessContribution":0,"interpretation":"Score combines source coverage, brain fleet health, visible authority evidence, proof links, readiness map, and doctrine coverage. It is a product proof score, not a promise of forecast accuracy."}}