{"ok":true,"service":"kelly-glass-lab","route":"/api/glass-lab/sector-labs/public_health","generatedAt":"2026-07-08T07:23:41.173Z","readOnly":true,"mutationAllowed":false,"publicUserWriteAllowed":false,"id":"public_health","title":"Public Health Signals Lab","template":{"id":"public_health","label":"Public Health Signals Lab","shortLabel":"Health","tagline":"Public health and environment signals shown with strict non-medical boundaries.","bestFor":"Showing real public records while refusing diagnosis or medical advice.","safeClaim":"Shows air-quality pressure, recall pressure, and public-data recency.","blockedClaim":"No medical advice, diagnosis, treatment, or personal safety instruction.","focusLabel":"Pick a location","focusQuestion":"Where should KELLY watch public-health signals?","questionLabel":"What health-signal question are you asking?","responseNode":"HEALTH:RISK","sourceIds":["open-meteo-air-quality","openaq","openfda","nasa-firms"],"focusPresets":[{"id":"nyc","label":"New York","lat":40.7128,"lon":-74.006,"riskType":"air quality and recall context"},{"id":"los-angeles","label":"Los Angeles","lat":34.0522,"lon":-118.2437,"riskType":"air quality and wildfire-smoke context"},{"id":"chicago","label":"Chicago","lat":41.8781,"lon":-87.6298,"riskType":"air quality and recall context"},{"id":"houston","label":"Houston","lat":29.7604,"lon":-95.3698,"riskType":"air quality and public-health context"},{"id":"phoenix","label":"Phoenix","lat":33.4484,"lon":-112.074,"riskType":"air quality and heat context"}],"questionPresets":[{"id":"air","label":"Air quality","nodeId":"HEALTH:AIR_QUALITY_PRESSURE","userQuestion":"Is air quality pressure rising?"},{"id":"recalls","label":"FDA recalls","nodeId":"HEALTH:FDA_RECALLS","userQuestion":"Are FDA recall signals rising?"},{"id":"smoke","label":"Smoke/fire","nodeId":"HEALTH:SMOKE_PRESSURE","userQuestion":"Is smoke or fire pressure rising?"},{"id":"recency","label":"Data recency","nodeId":"HEALTH:DATA_RECENCY","userQuestion":"Is the data fresh enough?"},{"id":"overall","label":"Overall risk","nodeId":"HEALTH:RISK","userQuestion":"Is public-health signal pressure rising?"}],"defaultNodes":["HEALTH:AIR_QUALITY_PRESSURE","HEALTH:FDA_RECALLS","HEALTH:SMOKE_PRESSURE","HEALTH:DATA_RECENCY","HEALTH:RISK"],"defaultEdges":["HEALTH:AIR_QUALITY_PRESSURE -> HEALTH:RISK","HEALTH:FDA_RECALLS -> HEALTH:RISK","HEALTH:SMOKE_PRESSURE -> HEALTH:AIR_QUALITY_PRESSURE","HEALTH:DATA_RECENCY -> HEALTH:RISK"]},"persona":{"audience":"Public-data analysts, community risk watchers, environmental users, and teams monitoring non-medical public signals.","primaryQuestion":"Are public health-adjacent signals changing, and what reality check will score KELLY later?","method":"Air quality, recalls, environmental pressure, public records, strict non-medical boundary, closure and calibration.","proofPromise":"Every health-signal view should show public source, freshness, location/event scope, and non-medical boundary.","liveApp":"/sector-labs/public-health"},"advantage":{"headline":"Why KELLY can be stronger here","claim":"KELLY is designed to win by being scoreable: every forecast should connect to source evidence, causal assumptions, falsifiers, settlement, calibration, replay, and memory lineage.","whyItMatters":"A forecast platform is only as good as its ability to be wrong in public, adjust from reality, and improve the next forecast without hiding the chain.","whereProofLives":["Source plan: the approved feed rows on this page","Forecast method: the doctrine timeline on this page","Authority evidence: Authority Index and replay receipts","Score evidence: settlement and calibration records","System evidence: Brain Fleet, generality evidence, and advanced proof labs"],"superiorityBoundary":"KELLY should be called better only where its scorecards, calibration, replay receipts, and source coverage outperform alternatives. This page is built to make that measurable.","sectorEdge":"Shows air-quality pressure, recall pressure, and public-data recency."},"uxPatterns":["Citation-forward answer pattern: put sources and proof next to claims.","Forecasting track-record pattern: keep probability, resolution rule, score, and history together.","Watchlist pattern: let users inspect a saved set without writing ground truth.","Alert/status pattern: show what changed, what is stale, and what KELLY is watching."],"researchReferences":[{"name":"TradingView","url":"https://www.tradingview.com/features/","lesson":"Charts, alerts, screeners, replay, multi-chart layouts, and fast command/search patterns make market work feel immediate."},{"name":"Metaculus","url":"https://www.metaculus.com/faq/","lesson":"Forecast questions need clear resolution rules, track records, scoring, calibration, and aggregation history."},{"name":"Windy / Windy.app","url":"https://windy.app/","lesson":"Weather users need maps, layers, local points, alerts, history, model comparison, and fast location context."},{"name":"Perplexity","url":"https://www.perplexity.ai/help-center/en/articles/10352895-how-does-perplexity-work.html","lesson":"Answer users expect citations beside claims, follow-up context, and checkable source trails."}],"liveStatus":{"state":"warming_specialized_read_only","sourcePresentCount":5,"sourceCount":5,"brainFleetHealthy":4,"visibleAuthorityRows":0,"generatedHypotheses":0,"realityClosures":0,"marketFeedAvailable":null},"sources":[{"id":"open-meteo-air-quality","label":"Open-Meteo Air Quality","cost":"free_no_key","keyName":null,"present":true,"note":"No-key air-quality observations for PM2.5, PM10, ozone, nitrogen dioxide, carbon monoxide, and UV where coverage exists."},{"id":"openaq","label":"OpenAQ","cost":"free_key_limited","keyName":"OPENAQ_API_KEY","present":true,"note":"Optional air quality observations. Coverage varies by location."},{"id":"openfda","label":"openFDA","cost":"free_limited","keyName":"OPENFDA_API_KEY","present":true,"note":"Food/drug/device enforcement and adverse-event data. API key is optional for higher limits."},{"id":"nasa-firms","label":"NASA FIRMS","cost":"free_key","keyName":"NASA_FIRMS_MAP_KEY","present":true,"note":"Wildfire hotspot feed. Optional key-based environmental shock source."},{"id":"openai","label":"OpenAI","cost":"paid_optional","keyName":"OPENAI_API_KEY","present":true,"note":"Only for narrative phrasing. The proof engine does not require an LLM."}],"forecastMethod":["Approved source intake only","Tag source, freshness, domain, and authority","The Book of Why: ask what caused the change, what would have happened otherwise, and what evidence can falsify the causal story","Thinking in Systems: map feedback loops, delays, stocks, flows, constraints, and downstream effects","Thinking, Fast and Slow: separate fast pattern recognition from slower deliberate verification","Superforecasting: start with base rates, update incrementally, keep probabilities explicit, and score the forecast later","Thinking in Bets: treat every forecast as a wager against reality with a clear settlement rule","Build causal pressure nodes and forecast cones","Separate KELLY forecast from user forecast","Track falsifiers, uncertainty, and competing explanations","Close against reality","Score calibration and error direction","Apply continuous micro-adjustments after settlement to improve future accuracy","Create replayable memory evidence when eligible"],"proofSurfaces":{"authorityIndex":"/authority-index","competitiveProofLabs":"/advanced-proof-labs","agiReadiness":"/generality-evidence","brainFleet":"/api/brain-fleet","templates":"/api/sector-labs","marketSummary":null},"metrics":{"visibleCells":0,"authorityCoverage":null,"readinessScore":0,"brainFleetHealthy":4,"sourcePresentCount":5,"sourceCount":5},"marketSummary":null,"boundary":{"readOnly":true,"publicUserWriteAllowed":false,"noAdviceSubstitute":"No medical advice, diagnosis, treatment, or personal safety instruction.","noClaimOfPerfectPrediction":true,"proofRequiredForEveryForecast":true},"proofScore":{"score":70,"grade":"strong","sourceCoverage":100,"brainCoverage":100,"authorityVisible":false,"proofSurfaceCoverage":100,"readinessContribution":0,"interpretation":"Score combines source coverage, brain fleet health, visible authority evidence, proof links, readiness map, and doctrine coverage. It is a product proof score, not a promise of forecast accuracy."}}