{"ok":true,"service":"kelly-glass-lab","route":"/api/glass-lab/sector-labs/transport_logistics","generatedAt":"2026-07-08T07:12:46.882Z","readOnly":true,"mutationAllowed":false,"publicUserWriteAllowed":false,"id":"transport_logistics","title":"Transport & Logistics Lab","template":{"id":"transport_logistics","label":"Transport & Logistics Lab","shortLabel":"Transport","tagline":"Flow, congestion, and disruption signals without pretending to control operations.","bestFor":"Showing dense public movement data and anomaly learning.","safeClaim":"Shows air-traffic density, velocity pressure, water-level context, and disruption pressure.","blockedClaim":"No routing instruction, no aviation safety instruction, and no guarantee of delays.","focusLabel":"Pick a region","focusQuestion":"Where should KELLY watch transport flow?","questionLabel":"What transport question are you asking?","responseNode":"TRANSPORT:RISK","sourceIds":["opensky","noaa-water"],"focusPresets":[{"id":"nyc","label":"New York region","lat":40.7128,"lon":-74.006,"radiusKm":150,"noaaStation":"8518750","riskType":"air and harbor flow"},{"id":"la","label":"Los Angeles region","lat":34.0522,"lon":-118.2437,"radiusKm":180,"noaaStation":"9410660","riskType":"air and port flow"},{"id":"chicago","label":"Chicago region","lat":41.8781,"lon":-87.6298,"radiusKm":180,"riskType":"air flow"},{"id":"atlanta","label":"Atlanta region","lat":33.749,"lon":-84.388,"radiusKm":180,"riskType":"air flow"},{"id":"seattle","label":"Seattle region","lat":47.6062,"lon":-122.3321,"radiusKm":180,"noaaStation":"9447130","riskType":"air and port flow"}],"questionPresets":[{"id":"air","label":"Air density","nodeId":"TRANSPORT:AIR_TRAFFIC_DENSITY","userQuestion":"Is air traffic density unusual?"},{"id":"speed","label":"Speed pressure","nodeId":"TRANSPORT:VELOCITY_PRESSURE","userQuestion":"Is movement slowing or changing?"},{"id":"coverage","label":"Coverage","nodeId":"TRANSPORT:COVERAGE","userQuestion":"Is there enough coverage?"},{"id":"water","label":"Port water","nodeId":"TRANSPORT:WATER_LEVEL","userQuestion":"Is water-level context changing?"},{"id":"overall","label":"Overall pressure","nodeId":"TRANSPORT:RISK","userQuestion":"Is transport pressure rising?"}],"defaultNodes":["TRANSPORT:AIR_TRAFFIC_DENSITY","TRANSPORT:VELOCITY_PRESSURE","TRANSPORT:COVERAGE","TRANSPORT:WATER_LEVEL","TRANSPORT:RISK"],"defaultEdges":["TRANSPORT:AIR_TRAFFIC_DENSITY -> TRANSPORT:RISK","TRANSPORT:VELOCITY_PRESSURE -> TRANSPORT:RISK","TRANSPORT:COVERAGE -> TRANSPORT:RISK","TRANSPORT:WATER_LEVEL -> TRANSPORT:RISK"]},"persona":{"audience":"Operators, logistics users, analysts, and infrastructure watchers who need flow and disruption signals.","primaryQuestion":"Is movement pressure changing, where, and what public evidence supports KELLY's forecast?","method":"Traffic/flow density, velocity pressure, water/port context, anomaly detection, settlement, memory update.","proofPromise":"Every transport view should show coverage, source freshness, flow pressure, and later reality closure.","liveApp":"/sector-labs/transport-logistics"},"advantage":{"headline":"Why KELLY can be stronger here","claim":"KELLY is designed to win by being scoreable: every forecast should connect to source evidence, causal assumptions, falsifiers, settlement, calibration, replay, and memory lineage.","whyItMatters":"A forecast platform is only as good as its ability to be wrong in public, adjust from reality, and improve the next forecast without hiding the chain.","whereProofLives":["Source plan: the approved feed rows on this page","Forecast method: the doctrine timeline on this page","Authority evidence: Authority Index and replay receipts","Score evidence: settlement and calibration records","System evidence: Brain Fleet, generality evidence, and advanced proof labs"],"superiorityBoundary":"KELLY should be called better only where its scorecards, calibration, replay receipts, and source coverage outperform alternatives. This page is built to make that measurable.","sectorEdge":"Shows air-traffic density, velocity pressure, water-level context, and disruption pressure."},"uxPatterns":["Citation-forward answer pattern: put sources and proof next to claims.","Forecasting track-record pattern: keep probability, resolution rule, score, and history together.","Watchlist pattern: let users inspect a saved set without writing ground truth.","Alert/status pattern: show what changed, what is stale, and what KELLY is watching."],"researchReferences":[{"name":"TradingView","url":"https://www.tradingview.com/features/","lesson":"Charts, alerts, screeners, replay, multi-chart layouts, and fast command/search patterns make market work feel immediate."},{"name":"Metaculus","url":"https://www.metaculus.com/faq/","lesson":"Forecast questions need clear resolution rules, track records, scoring, calibration, and aggregation history."},{"name":"Windy / Windy.app","url":"https://windy.app/","lesson":"Weather users need maps, layers, local points, alerts, history, model comparison, and fast location context."},{"name":"Perplexity","url":"https://www.perplexity.ai/help-center/en/articles/10352895-how-does-perplexity-work.html","lesson":"Answer users expect citations beside claims, follow-up context, and checkable source trails."}],"liveStatus":{"state":"warming_specialized_read_only","sourcePresentCount":3,"sourceCount":3,"brainFleetHealthy":4,"visibleAuthorityRows":0,"generatedHypotheses":0,"realityClosures":0,"marketFeedAvailable":null},"sources":[{"id":"opensky","label":"OpenSky Network","cost":"free_limited","keyName":"OPENSKY_ACCESS_TOKEN","present":true,"note":"OAuth2 client credentials (recommended): set OPENSKY_CLIENT_ID and OPENSKY_CLIENT_SECRET from opensky-network.org/my-opensky/account. Bearer tokens expire in ~30 minutes; leave OPENSKY_ACCESS_TOKEN empty unless refreshing often. Anonymous fallback works with no secrets."},{"id":"noaa-water","label":"NOAA CO-OPS Water Levels","cost":"free_no_key","keyName":null,"present":true,"note":"Water-level/tide observations when a station is configured."},{"id":"openai","label":"OpenAI","cost":"paid_optional","keyName":"OPENAI_API_KEY","present":true,"note":"Only for narrative phrasing. The proof engine does not require an LLM."}],"forecastMethod":["Approved source intake only","Tag source, freshness, domain, and authority","The Book of Why: ask what caused the change, what would have happened otherwise, and what evidence can falsify the causal story","Thinking in Systems: map feedback loops, delays, stocks, flows, constraints, and downstream effects","Thinking, Fast and Slow: separate fast pattern recognition from slower deliberate verification","Superforecasting: start with base rates, update incrementally, keep probabilities explicit, and score the forecast later","Thinking in Bets: treat every forecast as a wager against reality with a clear settlement rule","Build causal pressure nodes and forecast cones","Separate KELLY forecast from user forecast","Track falsifiers, uncertainty, and competing explanations","Close against reality","Score calibration and error direction","Apply continuous micro-adjustments after settlement to improve future accuracy","Create replayable memory evidence when eligible"],"proofSurfaces":{"authorityIndex":"/authority-index","competitiveProofLabs":"/advanced-proof-labs","agiReadiness":"/generality-evidence","brainFleet":"/api/brain-fleet","templates":"/api/sector-labs","marketSummary":null},"metrics":{"visibleCells":0,"authorityCoverage":null,"readinessScore":0,"brainFleetHealthy":4,"sourcePresentCount":3,"sourceCount":3},"marketSummary":null,"boundary":{"readOnly":true,"publicUserWriteAllowed":false,"noAdviceSubstitute":"No routing instruction, no aviation safety instruction, and no guarantee of delays.","noClaimOfPerfectPrediction":true,"proofRequiredForEveryForecast":true},"proofScore":{"score":70,"grade":"strong","sourceCoverage":100,"brainCoverage":100,"authorityVisible":false,"proofSurfaceCoverage":100,"readinessContribution":0,"interpretation":"Score combines source coverage, brain fleet health, visible authority evidence, proof links, readiness map, and doctrine coverage. It is a product proof score, not a promise of forecast accuracy."}}