Forecast Proof MatrixTrace every forecast back to evidence

Proof first, forecast second.

A read-only audit matrix showing what proof each sector forecast has, what is traceable, and what needs stronger evidence before stronger claims are allowed.

read only13 labsaverage proof 53%0 fully covered

Strongest proof lane

Science & Research Lab57%

Weakest proof lane

Energy & Climate Lab43%

Sources

9/1369% pass

Brain quorum

0/130% pass

Proof links

13/13100% pass

Authority

0/130% pass

Settlement rule

13/13100% pass

Falsifiers

13/13100% pass

Replay path

0/130% pass

Forecast proof matrix

lab	coverage	forecast posture	proof checks	weakest proof link	inspect
1. Science & Research Lab How strong is this claim?	57% 4/7 checks	45% cautious_watch / early	Sources: 100%Brain quorum: 0/4Proof links: 100%Authority: waitingSettlement rule: attachedFalsifiers: 4Replay path: waiting	Brain quorum Strengthen brain quorum for this lab before making stronger claims.	forecast dossier trail
2. Policy & Government Lab Is regulatory pressure rising?	57% 4/7 checks	42.9% cautious_watch / early	Sources: 75%Brain quorum: 0/4Proof links: 100%Authority: waitingSettlement rule: attachedFalsifiers: 4Replay path: waiting	Brain quorum Strengthen brain quorum for this lab before making stronger claims.	forecast dossier trail
3. Source Intake & Provenance Lab Can KELLY legally use this?	57% 4/7 checks	42.9% cautious_watch / early	Sources: 75%Brain quorum: 0/4Proof links: 100%Authority: waitingSettlement rule: attachedFalsifiers: 4Replay path: waiting	Brain quorum Strengthen brain quorum for this lab before making stronger claims.	forecast dossier trail
4. Weather Risk Lab Is it going to rain?	57% 4/7 checks	42.6% cautious_watch / early	Sources: 71%Brain quorum: 0/4Proof links: 100%Authority: waitingSettlement rule: attachedFalsifiers: 4Replay path: waiting	Brain quorum Strengthen brain quorum for this lab before making stronger claims.	forecast dossier trail
5. Sports Odds Lab Is this team likely to win?	57% 4/7 checks	42.2% cautious_watch / early	Sources: 67%Brain quorum: 0/4Proof links: 100%Authority: waitingSettlement rule: attachedFalsifiers: 4Replay path: waiting	Brain quorum Strengthen brain quorum for this lab before making stronger claims.	forecast dossier trail
6. Transport & Logistics Lab Is air traffic density unusual?	57% 4/7 checks	42.2% cautious_watch / early	Sources: 67%Brain quorum: 0/4Proof links: 100%Authority: waitingSettlement rule: attachedFalsifiers: 4Replay path: waiting	Brain quorum Strengthen brain quorum for this lab before making stronger claims.	forecast dossier trail
7. Earth & Disaster Lab Have nearby earthquakes changed risk?	57% 4/7 checks	41.5% cautious_watch / early	Sources: 60%Brain quorum: 0/4Proof links: 100%Authority: waitingSettlement rule: attachedFalsifiers: 4Replay path: waiting	Brain quorum Strengthen brain quorum for this lab before making stronger claims.	forecast dossier trail
8. Company Events Lab Have new filings appeared?	57% 4/7 checks	40.8% cautious_watch / early	Sources: 50%Brain quorum: 0/4Proof links: 100%Authority: waitingSettlement rule: attachedFalsifiers: 4Replay path: waiting	Brain quorum Strengthen brain quorum for this lab before making stronger claims.	forecast dossier trail
9. Geo World Model Lab What place is this really about?	57% 4/7 checks	40.8% cautious_watch / early	Sources: 50%Brain quorum: 0/4Proof links: 100%Authority: waitingSettlement rule: attachedFalsifiers: 4Replay path: waiting	Brain quorum Strengthen brain quorum for this lab before making stronger claims.	forecast dossier trail
10. Markets Lab Should I buy it?	43% 3/7 checks	40.1% cautious_watch / early	Sources: 44%Brain quorum: 0/4Proof links: 100%Authority: waitingSettlement rule: attachedFalsifiers: 4Replay path: waiting	Sources Strengthen sources for this lab before making stronger claims.	forecast dossier trail
11. Public Health Signals Lab Is air quality pressure rising?	43% 3/7 checks	39.8% cautious_watch / early	Sources: 40%Brain quorum: 0/4Proof links: 100%Authority: waitingSettlement rule: attachedFalsifiers: 4Replay path: waiting	Sources Strengthen sources for this lab before making stronger claims.	forecast dossier trail
12. Macro Pressure Lab Is inflation pressure rising?	43% 3/7 checks	39.1% cautious_watch / early	Sources: 33%Brain quorum: 0/4Proof links: 100%Authority: waitingSettlement rule: attachedFalsifiers: 4Replay path: waiting	Sources Strengthen sources for this lab before making stronger claims.	forecast dossier trail
13. Energy & Climate Lab Is grid pressure rising?	43% 3/7 checks	38.4% cautious_watch / early	Sources: 25%Brain quorum: 0/4Proof links: 100%Authority: waitingSettlement rule: attachedFalsifiers: 4Replay path: waiting	Sources Strengthen sources for this lab before making stronger claims.	forecast dossier trail

Boundary receipt

{
  "readOnly": true,
  "publicUserWriteAllowed": false,
  "matrixAuditsForecastEvidenceOnly": true,
  "noClaimOfPerfectPrediction": true,
  "weakProofMustRemainVisible": true
}